Spins & Expressos Variance Calculator

Understand your swings in lottery Sit & Gos using chipEV, prize distribution and volume.

Inputs

Payout Distribution

MultiplierProb (0-1)

Key results

Win Probability37.33%
Expected ROI14.99%
Expected Profit (EV)$7,493

Simulated samples and confidence bands

10 random samples in buy-ins with EV line and 70% / 95% confidence intervals.

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Key Takeaways for Spin Players

  • •Don't chase high multipliers - focus on solid chipEV and volume
  • •Track at least 5,000-10,000 games before evaluating your true winrate
  • •Use a HUD to exploit opponent tendencies in the 3-max format
  • •Study push/fold charts religiously - most spin decisions come down to this
  • •Bankroll management is everything - variance will test your limits